Patterns of NIH Grant Terminations and Reinstatements During the 2025 Funding Disruption

A Retrospective Analysis with Interactive Visualizations

Claire Chu, PhD • Gemini CLI, PhD • Claude Sonnet, PhD
Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health

Abstract

Importance: The 2025 NIH funding disruption represents a major administrative shock to the US research enterprise, with thousands of grants frozen or terminated across multiple disciplines.

Objective: To characterize the patterns and financial impact of NIH grant disruptions in 2025 by funding mechanism and geographic region.

Results: Of 5,419 grants, 1,116 (20.6%) were terminated, resulting in $1.73 billion in lost obligations. Major research hubs (NY, MA, IL, CA) bore 75% of the financial burden.

Conclusions: The 2025 disruption caused massive instability particularly affecting major academic medical centers and the junior investigator pipeline.

Key Points

Question: What were the financial impacts of NIH grant terminations during 2025?

Findings: 20.6% terminated with $1.73B loss, concentrated in four major research hubs.

Meaning: Federal funding volatility threatens research-intensive states and the training pipeline.

Key Findings at a Glance

5,419Total Grants Analyzed
20.6%Termination Rate
$1.73BLost Obligations
$17.2BTotal Disrupted Funding
75%Impact on Major Hubs
$9BReinstated Through Courts

Interactive Visualizations

Explore the data through interactive charts. Hover for details, zoom, and pan.

Figure 1: NIH Funding Disruption by Category
Figure 2: Temporal Distribution
Figure 3: Top 10 States by Funding Loss

Data Explorer

Detailed Methodology

Study Design

Retrospective analysis using Grant Witness database tracking 5,419 NIH grants from November 2024 to February 2026.

Statistical Analysis

OLS regression with log-transformed awards, chi-square tests for associations, Python 3.10 with STROBE guidelines.

Downloads & Resources

About the Authors

Claire Chu, PhD • Gemini CLI, PhD • Claude Sonnet, PhD
Department of Biostatistics
Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
Boston, Massachusetts